The La Liga scene is constantly changing, with repeated upsets and plenty of suspense.
The just-concluded round of La Liga was full of intense action and surprising results, bringing endless excitement and astonishment to fans. Among the four completed matches, the biggest shock was Real Betis defeating the strong Real Madrid 1-0 at home. Following that, Athletic Bilbao beat Atletico Madrid 3-0 at home, another notable upset. In addition, Rayo Vallecano defeated Racing Santander 3-2 at home, while Villarreal narrowly lost 3-2 away to Deportivo La Coruna. Looking across these four matches, three results favored the underdogs, meaning teams that were generally not expected to win came out on top. The unpredictability of every result highlighted the complexity and volatility of this La Liga season.

Tonight, the fourth round of La Liga will continue with four exciting matches. Since Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid both suffered defeats in the previous round, supporters of these two clubs are undoubtedly hoping that Barcelona will also produce a surprise upset and lose in this round. However, wishes are only wishes, and we still need to return to reality and rationally analyze the upcoming four matches. In previous La Liga seasons, matches between mid-table and lower-ranked teams often resembled Serie A games, with fewer goals and relatively dull proceedings. This season, however, the situation appears different, as matches between these teams have produced many high-scoring games, which deserves special attention.
Now, let us analyze the four upcoming matches one by one.
First is the key clash between Valencia and Barcelona. Valencia's current squad value is approximately 149 million euros. In their first two league matches, they achieved only one draw and two losses, a disappointing performance. In recent years, this former La Liga powerhouse has become a team fighting to avoid relegation. Facing the strong Barcelona side this round, Valencia are further weakened, with as many as seven or eight key players unavailable due to injuries or suspensions. In contrast, Barcelona won all three of their opening league matches and scored 12 goals, averaging four goals per game, showing frightening attacking power. Looking back at the last ten meetings between the two teams, Valencia have recorded only one win, one draw, and eight losses. Their only victory came in last season's final match, when Barcelona, having already secured the league title, appeared to relax and Valencia eventually survived relegation with a 3-1 home win. However, last season Barcelona also crushed Valencia 6-0 at home, and in an earlier season they won 7-1. Considering the gap in strength and Valencia's current squad problems, a Barcelona victory appears almost certain. We predict possible scores of 0-2, 0-3, or 1-3.

Next is Alaves hosting Osasuna. Alaves currently have a squad value of 66.7 million euros. In the first three league rounds, they achieved an excellent record of two wins and one draw and conceded only one goal, showing strong stability. Osasuna are valued at 77.9 million euros and also recorded two wins and one draw in their opening three matches, with similarly solid performances. Their last ten meetings show Alaves with three wins, three draws, and four losses, slightly disadvantaged. According to the latest odds, Alaves are priced at 2.10 to win, a draw at 2.95, and an away win at 3.20. Considering recent form and historical meetings, we lean toward a draw. Possible scores are 0-0, 1-1, or 2-2.

The third match is Malaga against Levante. Malaga are valued at 55.35 million euros and were promoted after finishing fourth in the Segunda Division last season. However, in the first three matches this season, they have managed only one draw and two losses and conceded seven goals, making them the leading relegation candidate at present. Levante are valued at 86.9 million euros. They have recorded one win, one draw, and one loss in their first three matches, scoring five goals and conceding five, showing the characteristics of a typical mid-table La Liga side. Their last ten meetings show Malaga with two wins, three draws, and five losses, leaving them at a disadvantage. It is worth noting that their last four meetings took place in the Segunda Division. According to the latest odds, Malaga are at 2.25 to win, a draw is 3.15, and a Levante win is 2.72. Considering Malaga's poor current form and Levante's mid-table strength, we believe Levante can avoid defeat in this match as an underdog result. Possible scores are 0-1, 1-1, or 1-2.

The final match is Espanyol against Sevilla. Espanyol are valued at 128 million euros and have recorded one win and two losses in the first three league matches. Sevilla are valued at 169 million euros and have achieved two wins and one loss in their opening three matches. Against mid-table and lower-ranked teams, Sevilla usually show good competitive form. Their last ten meetings show Espanyol with one win, three draws, and six losses, leaving them clearly disadvantaged historically. Last season, each team won at home. According to the latest odds, Espanyol are at 2.05 to win, a draw is 2.95, and a Sevilla win is 3.30. Although Espanyol have a poor historical record, considering their home advantage and possible fatigue for Sevilla, we believe Espanyol can at least avoid defeat. Possible scores are 1-1, 2-1, or 2-2.